Introduction

This is a (slightly edited) copy of a guest post I wrote for Miles Earn and Burn, a churning focused newsletter I love and have followed for years.

A few weeks ago, I published a big (30+ hours of work!) post quantifying the value of financial optimizations. Optimizing is supposed to pay off (for some definition of “pay off”), but it doesn’t always. I’ve failed in a lot of interesting ways when optimizing, and I console myself in those failures by telling myself I’ve learned something from them. For your benefit —or at least entertainment— I’ll enumerate some of my failures, and the tactics that I’ve developed to avoid repeating them.

My Failures

Taking on more complexity than I could understand

As a Canadian student earning internship money in the US, I had a brilliant idea to stash that money in a TFSA (the Canadian equivalent of a Roth IRA). I was planning to (and did) return to the US to work full time. I knew the US didn’t respect the tax free nature of TFSAs, but I was also smart, and knew that the US doesn’t charge you capital gains tax on your investments if you don’t sell them. I figured I could just avoid making any sales in my TFSA account and safely stash the money there until I one day returned to Canada and reaped the rewards of tax-free growth.

It turns out I wasn’t smart enough. I did not know that the US has a special designation for money you invest in passive investments outside the country, and that it applied to Canadian ETFs. Nor did I know that they had an extra special tax treatment for them. I also didn’t know they had a handy little 4 page form that you have to fill out per ETF you own, and which no tax software I know of supports. In the end, this little stunt saved me nothing, and cost two rounds of foreign exchange fees on the money, and burned through countless hours of my time across multiple years of tax filings.

My tactic to avoid repeating this failure is:

  • If you have a clever idea, validate it with some experts first: I could have saved a ton of pain if I’d talked to an accountant. Not every area of financial optimization has paid professionals you can contact (eg. churning), but I’ve always found that I can find groups of like minded individuals on the internet to talk about different personal finance topics. Whether it’s a workplace discussion group, a subreddit, or a private discord, I can always find folks smarter than me willing to give my ideas a read and call bullshit on a bad plan. Turns out people like correcting you when you’re wrong on the internet, who knew?

Not considering the opportunity cost

When purchasing my apartment, I was very proud of how I used a 0% APR offer on a Chase Freedom Unlimited card and some credit limit transfers to get $43,000 loan for no cost. This was a fun act of financial engineering, and I calculated that it saved me about $654 in interest on a loan I’d taken against my assets. Putting that spend on my Chase Freedom, however, meant that I wasn’t using it to hit sign up bonuses. That $43,000 would have been enough for seven Chase Ink Cash/Unlimited sign up bonuses, at $750 each (or a mix of equivalently lucrative offers). That means I gave up a chance to make $5250, just to save $654.

My tactic to avoid repeating this failure is:

  • Consider the opportunity cost of your plan: Any time you undertake an optimization, think whether it precludes you from doing something else (especially if that’s something else you’d normally be doing, like I would have been in this case). Calculate the value of the alternative, and make sure it’s less than the value of your plan.

Being too early

I’ve always been the type of person to try and get things done early, and boy have I found a million ways in which that can burn you. Closing a credit card with lounge access? Of course I end up with a last minute flight and no other lounge options in that airport. Burning my Amex Business Platinum card Dell credits on something frivolous on Jan 1? Of course I end up needing a new router that I could have gotten for free with those credits. In each case, my desire to get things done early meant I gave up optionality that I could have used later.

My tactic to avoid repeating this failure is:

  • Wait until the last minute, if there’s no benefit to being early and little risk of losing the opportunity: Credit cards have well known annual fee refund rules. If a bank will refund your money 30 days after the fee posts, there’s no benefit to cancelling it the day the fee posts. Set a reminder for a few days before the last possible day instead. Similarly, if you have an annual benefit you’re clearly entitled to, there’s no reason to blow it early on something you don’t want at the beginning of the year, when you might want it for something else later in the year.

    There are, however, some huge caveats here. If something is too good to be true and might get nerfed, or it is less than above-board that might get patched, you should absolutely continue to get on that ASAP.

Not valuing my time

For a great take on this, which highly resonated with me, read Kai’s Miles Earn and Burn post from last year. For my concurring take, read on.

I love Doctor of Credit, and I was hooked on getting their deal alerts after I got a free phone out of one. But one day, I caught myself responding to one of those alerts by spending 10 minutes punching my personal information into a random website to get a free cookie dough bar. In retrospect, I view saving a dollar or two on a thing I didn’t even want as a failure (and it’s indicative of dozens of other micro-optimizations I’ve done, like the time I’ve wasted going through shopping portals to get 1% back on ~$20 purchases).

My tactics to avoid repeating this failure are:

  • Set a minimum dollar value on your time: I have a hard $200 / hour rule for my time now. Obviously I don’t spend every hour focused on making / saving money, but if I’m doing something to make / save money, it better meet that bar.
  • Remember free can still be too expensive: Just because something is free, doesn’t mean it’s worth taking. There are extra costs in terms of time, the environment, your health, etc., even on free items. If you don’t actually want it, don’t waste your time on it.

Not valuing my comfort

I recently flew home from Tanzania, and booked the cheapest business class ticket that I could using points. The problem? It involved an awkward 6 hour overnight stay at Cairo airport (a completely wonderful airport with no faults at all). Even finding a soft place to hole up in a lounge, I barely slept and I was a miserable traveller for the rest of my trip. In retrospect, not paying the extra ~50k points for a better flight was a failure to value my comfort appropriately.

My tactic to avoid repeating this failure is:

  • Set hard rules for your comfort: I can’t put a dollar value on comfort as easily as I can on time, so instead I make strict rules for myself. I already had a hard line that I don’t do red eyes in economy. Now I have a new rule that I don’t do overnights in an airport. These hard and fast rules help me feel mentally compelled to take the options that I know are better for me, even if they’re more expensive.

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3 responses to “My Optimizing Failures and Lessons”

  1. That $43,000 would have been enough for seven Chase Ink Cash/Unlimited sign up bonuses, at $750 each (or a mix of equivalently lucrative offers)

    Isn’t this not a fair comparison, since you can only get each signup offer once (and presumably you’ve already done this one? Plus Chase in particular will only let you open a limited number of cards per year.

    I’d be interested to read an article where you describe how you come up with enough cards to sign up for to continue hitting useful signup bonuses.

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    1. Isn’t this not a fair comparison, since you can only get each signup offer once (and presumably you’ve already done this one? Plus Chase in particular will only let you open a limited number of cards per year.

      So first, I do want to point out some corrections:

      1. You can actually get Chase Ink sign up bonuses more than once. I personally have gotten many Ink bonuses. You may be thinking of Amex’s once-per-lifetime rules, which indeed are intended to only let you get each bonus once (but which also do have bypasses, the most well known of which is No Lifetime Language (NLL) offers).
      2. While Chase does have the 5/24 rule (they will not approve you for a new card if your credit report shows 5 or more new cards in the last 24 months) to slow credit card application velocity, that doesn’t affect Inks as much as you think. Inks are business cards and don’t report to your personal credit report. So a new Ink card does not count as one of the 5 cards for 5/24. Is it silly that Chase ignores the Inks, when they clearly know that you have it because they gave it to you? Yes, but that’s how it works. So you’re only limited by all of Chase’s other application rules, which means that for me I have no problem getting an Ink every ~3 months (in additional to the 1-2 other chase cards I get per year).

      But to get to the core of your argument, you’re right that I probably wouldn’t have met that spend with 7 inks exactly (I mentioned I get one every ~3 months, and I had my 0% loan for less than a year). The main point was just to say the credit card sign up bonuses in some mix would definitely add up to more than the measly ~$600 I saved with my clever 0% card trick. Multiplying the Ink bonus by 7 was just the easiest way to opportunity size without burying the reader in a litany of card names and bonus amounts that weren’t relevant to the main point (though I did try to hand wave that away with my “or a mix of equivalently lucrative offers” statement).

      I’d be interested to read an article where you describe how you come up with enough cards to sign up for to continue hitting useful signup bonuses.

      Interesting suggestion! In general, I try to avoid writing things that have already been covered well elsewhere, so my first instinct was just to point you to some credit card churning focused blogs. All the things I mentioned in my response here are definitely well known and covered on those blogs, but I don’t know that any presented that information framed in quite the way you’re asking. I’ll add it to my list of ideas.

      In the mean time, I’d suggest following Doctor of Credit (DoC), Miles Earn and Burn (MEAB), and Frequent Miler (FM). Those sites will teach you a ton, and will give you current news on what offers are available. For example, MEAB recently shared some NLL links for Amex, which would let you get those sign up bonuses even if you’d already had those cards before. And if you find yourself trying to decide what options you have to get a new sign up bonus, you can check DoC and FM‘s lists of best current offers.

      If you aren’t putting >~$250k annual spend on new credit cards for sign up bonuses, you’ve definitely got a lot of juice left to squeeze in terms of finding and earning bonuses.

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      1. Thanks, that makes a lot of sense. Just using a new Ink card every 3 months would be way easier than what I was imagining (trying to find a new card constantly), and the Miles Earn and Burn updates seem like they’d come up with a lot of good options (although I’m not sure if reading their update every day is worth the time spent). Maybe I need to convince Chase my Facebook Marketplace hobby is actually a business. It makes hundreds of dollars per year!

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